Match

Atlas Delmenhorst vs St. Pauli II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 12Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Düsternortstraße, Delmenhorst

Atlas DelmenhorstSt. Pauli II

The Footlab model makes Atlas Delmenhorst the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 19% for St. Pauli II. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlas Delmenhorst vs St. Pauli II?

Atlas Delmenhorst starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,937 vs 1,761).

Atlas Delmenhorst win62 %
Draw19 %
St. Pauli II win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlas Delmenhorst have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; St. Pauli II have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlas Delmenhorst
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Hannover 96 II(away)1-0Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026HSC Hannover(away)0-3Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 8, 2026VfB Lübeck(home)2-0Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 2, 2026Eintracht Norderstedt(away)2-2Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 22, 2026Bersenbrück(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
St. Pauli II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Werder Bremen II(home)2-1Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026SSV Jeddeloh(away)0-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026Bremer SV(home)0-1Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 2, 2026Todesfelde(away)4-6Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 26, 2026Eintracht Norderstedt(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Atlas Delmenhorst win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 St. Pauli II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 19, 2023St. Pauli II 1-0 Atlas DelmenhorstRegionalliga - Nord
Aug 26, 2022Atlas Delmenhorst 3-2 St. Pauli IIRegionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: St. Pauli II vs Atlas Delmenhorst on Feb 19, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Atlas Delmenhorst score 2.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; St. Pauli II score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atlas Delmenhorst2.10.695/159/15
St. Pauli II1.21.9110/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atlas Delmenhorst sit 7th in Regionalliga - Nord (7 points from 4 matches) and St. Pauli II sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Atlas Delmenhorst4211557
14St. Pauli II41036103

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlas Delmenhorst vs St. Pauli II?
The Footlab model makes Atlas Delmenhorst the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 19% for St. Pauli II.
Where and when is Atlas Delmenhorst vs St. Pauli II played?
Atlas Delmenhorst vs St. Pauli II is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Düsternortstraße, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Atlas Delmenhorst and St. Pauli II

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