Atlas Delmenhorst vs St. Pauli II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 12Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Düsternortstraße, Delmenhorst
The Footlab model makes Atlas Delmenhorst the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 19% for St. Pauli II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlas Delmenhorst vs St. Pauli II?
Atlas Delmenhorst starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,937 vs 1,761).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlas Delmenhorst have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; St. Pauli II have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | HSC Hannover(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Bersenbrück(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bremer SV(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Todesfelde(away) | 4-6 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Atlas Delmenhorst win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 St. Pauli II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | St. Pauli II 1-0 Atlas Delmenhorst | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 26, 2022 | Atlas Delmenhorst 3-2 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: St. Pauli II vs Atlas Delmenhorst on Feb 19, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Atlas Delmenhorst score 2.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; St. Pauli II score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas Delmenhorst | 2.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| St. Pauli II | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlas Delmenhorst sit 7th in Regionalliga - Nord (7 points from 4 matches) and St. Pauli II sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atlas Delmenhorst | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 14 | St. Pauli II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlas Delmenhorst vs St. Pauli II?
- The Footlab model makes Atlas Delmenhorst the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 19% for St. Pauli II.
- Where and when is Atlas Delmenhorst vs St. Pauli II played?
- Atlas Delmenhorst vs St. Pauli II is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Düsternortstraße, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026SV Drochtersen/AsselvsSSV Jeddeloh
- Oct 3, 2026VfB LübeckvsEimsbütteler TV
- Oct 3, 2026Eintracht NorderstedtvsBremer SV
- Oct 3, 2026Weiche FlensburgvsVfB Oldenburg
- Oct 3, 2026HSC HannovervsSchöningen
- Oct 3, 2026Hamburger SV IIvsWerder Bremen II
- Oct 3, 2026Hannover 96 IIvsPhönix Lübeck
- Oct 3, 2026Kickers EmdenvsTodesfelde