Weiche Flensburg vs VfB Oldenburg: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 12Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Manfred-Werner-Stadion, Flensburg
The Footlab model makes VfB Oldenburg the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Weiche Flensburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Weiche Flensburg vs VfB Oldenburg?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Weiche Flensburg (1,930) and VfB Oldenburg (2,010).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weiche Flensburg have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; VfB Oldenburg have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Paderborn II(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Weiche Flensburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 VfB Oldenburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg 1-2 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Weiche Flensburg 2-3 VfB Oldenburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Apr 4, 2025 | VfB Oldenburg 5-1 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 3, 2024 | Weiche Flensburg 2-0 VfB Oldenburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Feb 18, 2024 | VfB Oldenburg 2-0 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Weiche Flensburg 2-2 VfB Oldenburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: VfB Oldenburg vs Weiche Flensburg on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Weiche Flensburg score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Oldenburg score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weiche Flensburg | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| VfB Oldenburg | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Weiche Flensburg sit 1st in Regionalliga - Nord (13 points from 5 matches) and VfB Oldenburg sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weiche Flensburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | VfB Oldenburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Weiche Flensburg vs VfB Oldenburg?
- The Footlab model makes VfB Oldenburg the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Weiche Flensburg.
- Where and when is Weiche Flensburg vs VfB Oldenburg played?
- Weiche Flensburg vs VfB Oldenburg is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Manfred-Werner-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026SV Drochtersen/AsselvsSSV Jeddeloh
- Oct 3, 2026VfB LübeckvsEimsbütteler TV
- Oct 3, 2026Eintracht NorderstedtvsBremer SV
- Oct 3, 2026Atlas DelmenhorstvsSt. Pauli II
- Oct 3, 2026HSC HannovervsSchöningen
- Oct 3, 2026Hamburger SV IIvsWerder Bremen II
- Oct 3, 2026Hannover 96 IIvsPhönix Lübeck
- Oct 3, 2026Kickers EmdenvsTodesfelde