Kilia Kiel vs Holstein Kiel II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 30Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kilia-Platz, Kiel
The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel II the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Kilia Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kilia Kiel vs Holstein Kiel II?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Kilia Kiel (1,927) and Holstein Kiel II (1,955).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kilia Kiel have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Holstein Kiel II have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lübeck II(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Heider SV(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kilia Kiel win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Holstein Kiel II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II 2-0 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Kilia Kiel 5-1 Holstein Kiel II | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 18, 2024 | Holstein Kiel II 3-3 Kilia Kiel | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Kilia Kiel 1-0 Holstein Kiel II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jan 24, 2023 | Kilia Kiel 1-4 Holstein Kiel II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2021 | Kilia Kiel 2-1 Holstein Kiel II | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Holstein Kiel II vs Kilia Kiel on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kilia Kiel score 3.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel II score 3.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilia Kiel | 3.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Holstein Kiel II | 3.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kilia Kiel sit 7th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (8 points from 5 matches) and Holstein Kiel II sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Holstein Kiel II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Kilia Kiel | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kilia Kiel vs Holstein Kiel II?
- The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel II the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Kilia Kiel.
- Where and when is Kilia Kiel vs Holstein Kiel II played?
- Kilia Kiel vs Holstein Kiel II is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Kilia-Platz, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.