Phönix L. II vs Lübeck II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 30Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Phönix L. II the favourite at 62%, against 17% for a draw and 20% for Lübeck II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Phönix L. II vs Lübeck II?
Phönix L. II starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,783 vs 1,642).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phönix L. II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Lübeck II have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(away) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Todesfelde(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Phönix L. II score 2.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lübeck II score 2.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phönix L. II | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Lübeck II | 2.1 | 2.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Phönix L. II sit 5th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (9 points from 5 matches) and Lübeck II sit 16th (0 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Phönix L. II | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 9 |
| 16 | Lübeck II | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Phönix L. II vs Lübeck II?
- The Footlab model makes Phönix L. II the favourite at 62%, against 17% for a draw and 20% for Lübeck II.
- Where and when is Phönix L. II vs Lübeck II played?
- Phönix L. II vs Lübeck II is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.