Union Neumünster vs Kaltenkirchen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 30Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Stettiner Straße, Neumünster
The Footlab model makes Union Neumünster the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Kaltenkirchen. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Neumünster vs Kaltenkirchen?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Union Neumünster (1,821) and Kaltenkirchen (1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Neumünster have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kaltenkirchen have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rotenhof(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SV Eichede(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Union Neumünster win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kaltenkirchen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Union Neumünster 3-2 Kaltenkirchen | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Kaltenkirchen 2-0 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Union Neumünster vs Kaltenkirchen on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Neumünster score 2.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kaltenkirchen score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Neumünster | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Kaltenkirchen | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Neumünster sit 8th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (8 points from 5 matches) and Kaltenkirchen sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Union Neumünster | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | Kaltenkirchen | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Neumünster vs Kaltenkirchen?
- The Footlab model makes Union Neumünster the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Kaltenkirchen.
- Where and when is Union Neumünster vs Kaltenkirchen played?
- Union Neumünster vs Kaltenkirchen is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Stettiner Straße, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.