Kilkisiakos vs Iraklis Therm.: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 2Group 2 - 16Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Kilkis, Kilkis
The Footlab model makes Iraklis Therm. the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Kilkisiakos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kilkisiakos vs Iraklis Therm.?
Iraklis Therm. starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,621 vs 1,505).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kilkisiakos have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Iraklis Therm. have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | PAO Kristoni(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Apollon Krya Vrysi(away) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | PAOK Dytiko(home) | 5-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Thermaikos Thermis(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Orestis Orestiadas(home) | 4-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Xanthi FC(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Aetos Orfani(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Panthrakikos(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Kilkisiakos win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Iraklis Therm. win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Iraklis Therm. 1-0 Kilkisiakos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Kilkisiakos 1-1 Iraklis Therm. | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Iraklis Therm. vs Kilkisiakos on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kilkisiakos score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Iraklis Therm. score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilkisiakos | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Iraklis Therm. | 1.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kilkisiakos vs Iraklis Therm.?
- The Footlab model makes Iraklis Therm. the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Kilkisiakos.
- Where and when is Kilkisiakos vs Iraklis Therm. played?
- Kilkisiakos vs Iraklis Therm. is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Kilkis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.