Makedonikos Neapolis vs Mpam: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 2Group 2 - 16Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gipedo Neas Efkarpias Makedonikou, Thessaloníki
The Footlab AI model makes Makedonikos Neapolis the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Mpam. The most likely score is 1-1. If Makedonikos Neapolis wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,923 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Makedonikos Neapolis vs Mpam?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Makedonikos Neapolis (1,573) and Mpam (1,596).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Makedonikos Neapolis vs Mpam
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Makedonikos Neapolis
Not enough data to predict the Makedonikos Neapolis lineup.
Mpam
Not enough data to predict the Mpam lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 07:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Makedonikos Neapolis have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Mpam have 2, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Iraklis Therm.(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Mpam(away) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona(home) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Finikas Polichnis(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kilkisiakos(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Finikas Polichnis(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Makedonikos Neapolis(home) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kilkisiakos(away) | 4-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Akrites Sykeon(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Makedonikos Neapolis wins, 1 draw, 0 Mpam wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Mpam 2-2 Makedonikos Neapolis | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Mpam vs Makedonikos Neapolis on Oct 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Makedonikos Neapolis score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mpam score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makedonikos Neapolis | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Mpam | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0 | 6/7 | 4/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Makedonikos Neapolis vs Mpam?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Makedonikos Neapolis vs Mpam?
- The Footlab AI model makes Makedonikos Neapolis the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Mpam.
- Where and when is Makedonikos Neapolis vs Mpam played?
- Makedonikos Neapolis vs Mpam is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gipedo Neas Efkarpias Makedonikou, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.