Kilmarnock vs Celtic: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
The Footlab model makes Celtic the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Kilmarnock. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kilmarnock vs Celtic?
Celtic starts as the favourite with a 299-point Elo edge (2,181 vs 1,882).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kilmarnock have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Celtic have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ayr Utd(home) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 1-5 | Premiership |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 3-4 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Peterhead(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lask Linz(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 4-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 5-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Dundee(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AC Milan(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kilmarnock win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Celtic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kilmarnock 1-5 Celtic | Premiership |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Kilmarnock 2-3 Celtic | Premiership |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Celtic 4-0 Kilmarnock | Premiership |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Kilmarnock 1-2 Celtic | Premiership |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Celtic 5-1 Kilmarnock | Premiership |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Celtic 2-1 Kilmarnock | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Kilmarnock score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Celtic score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock | 2.1 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Celtic | 2.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kilmarnock sit 12th in Premiership (0 points from 2 matches) and Celtic sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kilmarnock vs Celtic?
- The Footlab model makes Celtic the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Kilmarnock.
- Where and when is Kilmarnock vs Celtic played?
- Kilmarnock vs Celtic is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.