Kitara vs Al Ahly: prediction and stats
CAF Confederation Cup2nd Preliminary RoundKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)The Royals Park, Butema
The Footlab AI model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 78%, against 16% for a draw and 6% for Kitara. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kitara vs Al Ahly?
Al Ahly is a heavy favourite: 2,069 Elo points against 1,537, a 532-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kitara vs Al Ahly
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kitara
Not enough data to predict the Kitara lineup.
Al Ahly
4-2-3-1- 9S. Benjdida
- 17A. Bencharki
- 13Marwan Attia
- 25Zizo
- 22Emam Ashour
- 12Akram Tawfik
- 30Mohamed Hany
- 2Yassin Marei
- 3A. Dari
- 24Tawfik Mohamed
- 31Mostafa Shobeir
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kitara have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Al Ahly have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kataka(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Kigezi HomeBoyz(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Express(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mogadishu City(home) | 2-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mogadishu City(away) | 2-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Zamalek SC(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(away) | 5-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Abu Qair Semad(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | El Mokawloon(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Smouha SC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Kitara score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ahly score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kitara | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Al Ahly | 2.0 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Kitara vs Al Ahly?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kitara vs Al Ahly?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 78%, against 16% for a draw and 6% for Kitara.
- Where and when is Kitara vs Al Ahly played?
- Kitara vs Al Ahly is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at The Royals Park, in the CAF Confederation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.