Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs: prediction and stats
CAF Confederation Cup2nd Preliminary RoundKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nkoloma Stadium, Lusaka
The Footlab AI model makes Kaizer Chiefs the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Red Arrows. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs?
Kaizer Chiefs starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,859 vs 1,671).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Red Arrows
4-3-3- 28Ricky Banda
- 35James Chamanga
- 10Joseph Phiri
- 6Paul Katema
- 17Ackim Mumba
- 34Saddam Yussuf Phiri
- 21G. Ngwenya
- 32Benedict Chepeshi
- 15Allan Kapila
- 30Kebson Kamanga
- 16Charles Kalumba
Kaizer Chiefs
4-2-3-1- 29P. Mako
- 28Mfundo Vilakazi
- 5S. Mthethwa
- 39R. Frosler
- 7M. Shabalala
- 47W. Duba
- 84Inácio Miguel
- 42T. Moloisane
- 48B. Cross
- 2T. Monyane
- 16R. Leaner
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Red Arrows have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Kaizer Chiefs have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(away) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Inate Rouge(away) | 2-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Inate Rouge(home) | 2-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| May 22, 2026 | Green Buffaloes(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stellenbosch(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Golden Arrows(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Polokwane City(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Siwelele(home) | 3-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Richards Bay(away) | 2-2 | Premier Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Red Arrows score 1.2 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Kaizer Chiefs score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Arrows | 1.2 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Kaizer Chiefs | 1.2 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kaizer Chiefs | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
A question about Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kaizer Chiefs the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Red Arrows.
- Where and when is Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs played?
- Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nkoloma Stadium, in the CAF Confederation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.