AFAD vs CS Sfaxien: prediction and stats
CAF Confederation Cup2nd Preliminary RoundKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Robert Champroux, Abidjan
The Footlab AI model makes CS Sfaxien the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for AFAD. The most likely score is 1-1. If CS Sfaxien wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFAD vs CS Sfaxien?
CS Sfaxien starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,916 vs 1,704).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFAD vs CS Sfaxien
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFAD
4-3-3- 28Noel N'Guessan Bi Kouamé
- 21T. Bonheur
- 17K. Amani
- 10Sanga Topio Coulibaly
- 8L. Kocou
- 12K. Koffi
- 2I. Sango
- 27A. Zouzou
- 4M. Niegbo
- 13B. Soumahoro
- 23C. Trabi
CS Sfaxien
4-2-1-3- 11I. Belwafi
- 18E. Ogbole
- 9J. Loulendo
- 14J. Mbé
- 19L. Trayi
- 33M. Trabelsi
- 10A. Maâloul
- 24H. Mathlouthi
- 13R. Derbali
- 15K. Mundeko
- 30A. Dahmen
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFAD have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; CS Sfaxien have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | ASEC Mimosas(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | SOA(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bouaké(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | East End Lions(away) | 2-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | East End Lions(home) | 1-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CA Bizertin(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | US Ben Guerdane(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Shooting Stars(home) | 2-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Shooting Stars(away) | 0-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
AFAD score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; CS Sfaxien score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFAD | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| CS Sfaxien | 1.3 | 0.5 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CS Sfaxien | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 3 |
A question about AFAD vs CS Sfaxien?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFAD vs CS Sfaxien?
- The Footlab AI model makes CS Sfaxien the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for AFAD.
- Where and when is AFAD vs CS Sfaxien played?
- AFAD vs CS Sfaxien is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Robert Champroux, in the CAF Confederation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.