Kitchee vs North District: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Mong Kok Stadium, Hong Kong
The Footlab AI model makes Kitchee the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for North District. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kitchee wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kitchee vs North District?
Kitchee starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,665 vs 1,526).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kitchee vs North District
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kitchee
4-3-3- 21Koldo Obieta
- 30Walter
- 18Everton Camargo
- 9Revilla
- 7R. Mingazow
- 5Illarramendi
- 3Roger Riera
- 22C. Beattie
- 14Kam Chi Kin Jason
- 2Marcao
- 17Pong Cheuk Hei
North District
4-3-3- 70Samuel Granada
- 11Weverton Guilherme
- 19Jahangir Khan
- 22Y. Arboleda
- 20Kayke David
- 4Fung Kwun-Ming
- 5C. Páez
- 3Wong Chun Ho
- 16K. Mosquera
- 37Wong Tsz Ho
- 13K. Chan
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kitchee have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; North District have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Eastern(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Gangwon FC(home) | 0-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Southern District(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Eastern(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Southern District(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | BC Rangers(home) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Shatin(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kitchee(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kitchee win, 3 draws, 2 North District wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | North District 0-0 Kitchee | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | North District 2-2 Kitchee | Premier League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | North District 1-2 Kitchee | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Kitchee 3-3 North District | Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Kitchee 2-3 North District | Senior Shield |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Kitchee 1-2 North District | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: North District vs Kitchee on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kitchee score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; North District score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kitchee | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| North District | 2.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kitchee sit 1st in Premier League (52 points from 22 matches) and North District sit 4th (32 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kitchee | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 54 | 28 | 52 |
| 4 | North District | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 39 | 32 |
A question about Kitchee vs North District?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kitchee vs North District?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kitchee the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for North District.
- Where and when is Kitchee vs North District played?
- Kitchee vs North District is played on March 7, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Mong Kok Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.