Kowloon City vs Southern District: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Sham Shui Po Sports Ground, Kowloon
The Footlab model makes Southern District the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Kowloon City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kowloon City vs Southern District?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Kowloon City (1,400) and Southern District (1,436).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kowloon City have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Southern District have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Warriors(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | BC Rangers(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Southern District(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | BC Rangers(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kowloon City win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Southern District win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Southern District 3-1 Kowloon City | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kowloon City 2-1 Southern District | Premier League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Southern District 2-0 Kowloon City | Premier League |
| May 18, 2025 | Kowloon City 0-2 Southern District | Premier League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Southern District 0-1 Kowloon City | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Kowloon City 2-1 Southern District | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Southern District vs Kowloon City on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kowloon City score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Southern District score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kowloon City | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Southern District | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kowloon City sit 1st in Premier League (28 points from 22 matches) and Southern District sit 2nd (25 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kowloon City | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 39 | 28 |
| 2 | Southern District | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 35 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kowloon City vs Southern District?
- The Footlab model makes Southern District the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Kowloon City.
- Where and when is Kowloon City vs Southern District played?
- Kowloon City vs Southern District is played on February 28, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Sham Shui Po Sports Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.