North District vs Shatin: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC)North District Sports Ground, North District
The Footlab AI model makes North District the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Shatin. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win North District vs Shatin?
North District starts as the favourite with a 217-point Elo edge (1,526 vs 1,310).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for North District vs Shatin
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
North District
4-3-3- 70Samuel Granada
- 11Weverton Guilherme
- 19Jahangir Khan
- 22Y. Arboleda
- 20Kayke David
- 9Kong Wai Lo
- 5C. Páez
- 3Wong Chun Ho
- 16K. Mosquera
- 37Wong Tsz Ho
- 13K. Chan
Shatin
4-3-3- 28Hoi-To Lai
- 9J. Scott
- 22Tsz-Yin So
- 4R. Cheng Chun-Wang
- 8Lam Hok Hei
- 4Cheng Chun Wang Ryan
- 45M. Ansah
- 30J. Arthur
- 47S. Takatori
- 31Law Tsz Chun
- 93M. F. Ho
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, North District have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Shatin have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Eastern(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Southern District(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | BC Rangers(home) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Shatin(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kitchee(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Warriors(home) | 0-1 | Senior Shield |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | North District(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Warriors(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 North District wins, 1 draw, 2 Shatin wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Shatin 0-5 North District | Premier League |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Shatin 0-4 North District | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 12, 2022 | North District 1-2 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 3, 2021 | North District 1-1 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
| Mar 28, 2021 | North District 1-0 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 8, 2019 | North District 0-3 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Shatin vs North District on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
North District score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Shatin score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North District | 2.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Shatin | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | North District | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 39 | 32 |
A question about North District vs Shatin?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for North District vs Shatin?
- The Footlab AI model makes North District the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Shatin.
- Where and when is North District vs Shatin played?
- North District vs Shatin is played on March 20, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at North District Sports Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.