Kjelsås vs Rana: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 2Regular Season - 23Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Grefsen Stadion, Oslo
The Footlab model makes Kjelsås the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 14% for Rana. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kjelsås vs Rana?
Kjelsås starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,933 vs 1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kjelsås have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Rana have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Frigg(away) | 4-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Junkeren(home) | 2-0 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eidsvold(away) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Levanger(home) | 4-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rana(away) | 3-2 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stalkam(away) | 3-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Stalkam(away) | 3-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Follo(away) | 3-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Skeid(home) | 2-0 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stjørdals-Blink(away) | 2-4 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Kjelsås win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Rana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rana 2-3 Kjelsås | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Rana 0-3 Kjelsås | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Kjelsås 2-2 Rana | 2. Division - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Kjelsås score 2.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rana score 2.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kjelsås | 2.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Rana | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kjelsås sit 2nd in 2. Division - Group 2 (37 points from 16 matches) and Rana sit 9th (20 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kjelsås | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 21 | 37 |
| 9 | Rana | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 28 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kjelsås vs Rana?
- The Footlab model makes Kjelsås the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 14% for Rana.
- Where and when is Kjelsås vs Rana played?
- Kjelsås vs Rana is played on October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Grefsen Stadion, in the 2. Division - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.