Junkeren vs Grorud: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 2Regular Season - 23Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Nordlandshallen, Bodø
The Footlab model makes Grorud the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Junkeren. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Junkeren vs Grorud?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Junkeren (1,769) and Grorud (1,858).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Junkeren have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Grorud have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Fløya(away) | 3-5 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kjelsås(away) | 0-2 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Follo(home) | 4-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Eidsvold(away) | 1-4 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lørenskog(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lokomotiv Oslo(away) | 5-1 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Trygg/Lade(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Skeid(away) | 5-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stjørdals-Blink(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Lørenskog(away) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Junkeren win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Grorud win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Grorud 3-0 Junkeren | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Grorud 5-0 Junkeren | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Junkeren 2-5 Grorud | 2. Division - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Junkeren score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Grorud score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junkeren | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Grorud | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Junkeren sit 10th in 2. Division - Group 2 (20 points from 16 matches) and Grorud sit 5th (26 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grorud | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 15 | 26 |
| 10 | Junkeren | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 28 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Junkeren vs Grorud?
- The Footlab model makes Grorud the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Junkeren.
- Where and when is Junkeren vs Grorud played?
- Junkeren vs Grorud is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Nordlandshallen, in the 2. Division - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.