Lørenskog vs Trygg/Lade: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 2Regular Season - 23Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Strømmen Stadion, Strømmen
The Footlab model makes Lørenskog the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Trygg/Lade. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lørenskog vs Trygg/Lade?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Lørenskog (1,784) and Trygg/Lade (1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lørenskog have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Trygg/Lade have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Moss(home) | 0-3 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eidsvold(home) | 1-7 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tromsdalen Uil(away) | 0-2 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hønefoss(home) | 1-3 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Junkeren(away) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tynset(away) | 3-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ull/Kisa(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grorud(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Follo(away) | 2-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Eidsvold(home) | 1-2 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Lørenskog win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Trygg/Lade win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Trygg/Lade 1-4 Lørenskog | 2. Division - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Trygg/Lade vs Lørenskog on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lørenskog score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Trygg/Lade score 1.3 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lørenskog | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Trygg/Lade | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lørenskog sit 6th in 2. Division - Group 2 (26 points from 16 matches) and Trygg/Lade sit 14th (8 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lørenskog | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 26 |
| 14 | Trygg/Lade | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 39 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lørenskog vs Trygg/Lade?
- The Footlab model makes Lørenskog the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Trygg/Lade.
- Where and when is Lørenskog vs Trygg/Lade played?
- Lørenskog vs Trygg/Lade is played on October 11, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Strømmen Stadion, in the 2. Division - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.