Kjelsås vs Trygg/Lade: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 2Regular Season - 25Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Grefsen Stadion, Oslo
The Footlab model makes Kjelsås the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Trygg/Lade. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kjelsås vs Trygg/Lade?
Kjelsås starts as the favourite with a 245-point Elo edge (1,934 vs 1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kjelsås have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Trygg/Lade have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Frigg(away) | 4-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Junkeren(home) | 2-0 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eidsvold(away) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Levanger(home) | 4-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rana(away) | 3-2 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tynset(away) | 3-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ull/Kisa(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grorud(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Follo(away) | 2-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Eidsvold(home) | 1-2 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Kjelsås win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Trygg/Lade win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Trygg/Lade 1-3 Kjelsås | 2. Division - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Trygg/Lade vs Kjelsås on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kjelsås score 2.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Trygg/Lade score 1.3 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kjelsås | 2.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Trygg/Lade | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kjelsås sit 2nd in 2. Division - Group 2 (37 points from 16 matches) and Trygg/Lade sit 14th (8 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kjelsås | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 21 | 37 |
| 14 | Trygg/Lade | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 39 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kjelsås vs Trygg/Lade?
- The Footlab model makes Kjelsås the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Trygg/Lade.
- Where and when is Kjelsås vs Trygg/Lade played?
- Kjelsås vs Trygg/Lade is played on October 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Grefsen Stadion, in the 2. Division - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.