Koforidua vs Home Stars: prediction and stats
Division One LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Koforidua the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Home Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Koforidua vs Home Stars?
Koforidua starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,592 vs 1,489).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Koforidua have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Home Stars have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | WAFA(home) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| May 9, 2026 | Okwawu(home) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| May 2, 2026 | Attram de Visser(away) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Port City(home) | 2-0 | Division One League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Na God(away) | 3-1 | Division One League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Okwawu(home) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| May 9, 2026 | Great Olympics(away) | 0-2 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Golden Warriors(home) | 1-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Golden Kicks(away) | 1-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Nania(home) | 0-1 | Division One League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Koforidua win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Home Stars win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Home Stars 1-0 Koforidua | Division One League |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Koforidua 2-1 Home Stars | Division One League |
Last archived meeting: Home Stars vs Koforidua on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Koforidua score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Home Stars score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koforidua | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Home Stars | 0.8 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Koforidua sit 8th in Division One League (1 points from 1 matches) and Home Stars sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Home Stars | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Koforidua | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Koforidua vs Home Stars?
- The Footlab model makes Koforidua the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Home Stars.
- Where and when is Koforidua vs Home Stars played?
- Koforidua vs Home Stars is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Division One League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.