Kokand-1912 vs Buxoro: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Markaziy Stadion, Kokand
The Footlab model makes Buxoro the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Kokand-1912. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kokand-1912 vs Buxoro?
Buxoro starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,703 vs 1,601).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kokand-1912 have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Buxoro have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Bunyodkor(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nasaf(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Surkhon(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Dinamo Samarqand(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Neftchi(home) | 4-1 | Super League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Olmaliq(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Pakhtakor(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Andijan(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kokand-1912 win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Buxoro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Buxoro 1-0 Kokand-1912 | Super League |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Buxoro 1-0 Kokand-1912 | Super League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Kokand-1912 1-0 Buxoro | Super League |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Buxoro 0-1 Kokand-1912 | Pro League A |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Kokand-1912 0-1 Buxoro | Pro League A |
| May 24, 2024 | Buxoro 0-0 Kokand-1912 | Pro League A |
Last archived meeting: Buxoro vs Kokand-1912 on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kokand-1912 score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Buxoro score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kokand-1912 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Buxoro | 1.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kokand-1912 sit 14th in Super League (11 points from 11 matches) and Buxoro sit 4th (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Buxoro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Buxoro | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 33 |
| 14 | Kokand-1912 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 11 |
| 15 | Kokand-1912 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kokand-1912 vs Buxoro?
- The Footlab model makes Buxoro the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Kokand-1912.
- Where and when is Kokand-1912 vs Buxoro played?
- Kokand-1912 vs Buxoro is played on August 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Markaziy Stadion, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.