Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Kolos, Kovalivka
The Footlab model makes Polessya the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Kolos Kovalivka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya?
Polessya starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,947 vs 1,845).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kolos Kovalivka have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Polessya have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chornomorets(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Oleksandria(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chornomorets(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kolos Kovalivka win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Polessya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka 0-2 Polessya | Premier League |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Polessya 2-1 Kolos Kovalivka | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Polessya 0-1 Kolos Kovalivka | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Kolos Kovalivka 1-1 Polessya | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Polessya 1-1 Kolos Kovalivka | Premier League |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Polessya 1-0 Kolos Kovalivka | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kolos Kovalivka score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Polessya score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kolos Kovalivka | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Polessya | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kolos Kovalivka sit 16th in Premier League (0 points from 2 matches) and Polessya sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Polessya | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 16 | Kolos Kovalivka | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya?
- The Footlab model makes Polessya the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Kolos Kovalivka.
- Where and when is Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya played?
- Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kolos, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.