Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi, Kyiv
The Footlab model makes Zorya Luhansk the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Zorya Luhansk (1,845) and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi (1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zorya Luhansk have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Epitsentr Dunayivtsi have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Skala 1911 Stryi(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Polessya(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Göztepe(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | To4ka Odessa(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Zorya Luhansk win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk 1-0 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1-2 Zorya Luhansk | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zorya Luhansk score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Epitsentr Dunayivtsi score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zorya Luhansk | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zorya Luhansk sit 3rd in Premier League (6 points from 3 matches) and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi sit 6th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zorya Luhansk | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi?
- The Footlab model makes Zorya Luhansk the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi.
- Where and when is Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi played?
- Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.