LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Cherkasy Arena, Cherkasy
The Footlab model makes LNZ Cherkasy the favourite at 38%, against 34% for a draw and 29% for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate LNZ Cherkasy (1,930) and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv (1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, LNZ Cherkasy have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Metalist 1925 Kharkiv have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chornomorets(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Karpaty(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Bukovyna(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Gent(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Polessya(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 LNZ Cherkasy win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy 1-1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0-1 LNZ Cherkasy | Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-1 LNZ Cherkasy | Premier League |
| Aug 26, 2023 | LNZ Cherkasy 0-1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
LNZ Cherkasy score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Metalist 1925 Kharkiv score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LNZ Cherkasy | 1.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
| Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
LNZ Cherkasy sit 8th in Premier League (4 points from 3 matches) and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | LNZ Cherkasy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
- The Footlab model makes LNZ Cherkasy the favourite at 38%, against 34% for a draw and 29% for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv.
- Where and when is LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv played?
- LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Cherkasy Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.