Kongsvinger vs Lyn: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 20Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gjemselund Stadion, Kongsvinger
The Footlab model makes Kongsvinger the favourite at 67%, against 17% for a draw and 16% for Lyn. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kongsvinger vs Lyn?
Kongsvinger starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,960 vs 1,794).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kongsvinger have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Lyn have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Skreia(away) | 14-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Haugesund(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Asane(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Strommen(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sandnes ULF(away) | 6-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SF Grei(away) | 4-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ODD Ballklubb(home) | 5-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stabaek(away) | 3-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sogndal(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stromsgodset(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kongsvinger win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lyn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Lyn 0-3 Kongsvinger | 1. Division |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Lyn 0-1 Kongsvinger | 1. Division |
| May 24, 2025 | Kongsvinger 2-1 Lyn | 1. Division |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Kongsvinger 2-3 Lyn | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Lyn 1-2 Kongsvinger | 1. Division |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Kongsvinger 1-1 Lyn | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Kongsvinger score 3.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lyn score 1.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kongsvinger | 3.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Lyn | 1.8 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kongsvinger sit 2nd in 1. Division (39 points from 18 matches) and Lyn sit 11th (20 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kongsvinger | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 28 | 39 |
| 2 | Kongsvinger | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 26 |
| 11 | Lyn | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 38 | 20 |
| 13 | Lyn | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kongsvinger vs Lyn?
- The Footlab model makes Kongsvinger the favourite at 67%, against 17% for a draw and 16% for Lyn.
- Where and when is Kongsvinger vs Lyn played?
- Kongsvinger vs Lyn is played on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gjemselund Stadion, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.