Sogndal vs Stromsgodset: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 20Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Fosshaugane Campus, Sogndal
The Footlab model makes Stromsgodset the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Sogndal. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sogndal vs Stromsgodset?
Stromsgodset starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,879 vs 1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sogndal have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Stromsgodset have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fjøra(away) | 8-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sandnes ULF(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bryne(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lyn(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ranheim(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ranheim(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Egersund(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bryne(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lyn(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 4, 2026 | hodd(away) | 3-4 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Sogndal win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Stromsgodset win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Stromsgodset 3-0 Sogndal | 1. Division |
| Oct 29, 2017 | Stromsgodset 4-1 Sogndal | Eliteserien |
| Apr 17, 2017 | Sogndal 1-1 Stromsgodset | Eliteserien |
| Oct 23, 2016 | Sogndal 0-1 Stromsgodset | Eliteserien |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Stromsgodset 2-1 Sogndal | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: Stromsgodset vs Sogndal on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sogndal score 2.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Stromsgodset score 2.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sogndal | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Stromsgodset | 2.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sogndal sit 10th in 1. Division (21 points from 18 matches) and Stromsgodset sit 4th (35 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stromsgodset | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | Stromsgodset | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 26 | 35 |
| 10 | Sogndal | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 43 | 21 |
| 12 | Sogndal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 26 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sogndal vs Stromsgodset?
- The Footlab model makes Stromsgodset the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Sogndal.
- Where and when is Sogndal vs Stromsgodset played?
- Sogndal vs Stromsgodset is played on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Fosshaugane Campus, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.