Match

Kongsvinger vs Stabaek: prediction and stats

1. DivisionRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gjemselund Stadion, Kongsvinger

KongsvingerStabaek

The Footlab AI model makes Kongsvinger the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Stabaek. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kongsvinger vs Stabaek?

Kongsvinger starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,987 vs 1,882).

63%18%19%
Kongsvinger winDrawStabaek win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kongsvinger vs Stabaek

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kongsvinger

4-3-3
  1. 27M. Sande
  2. 21A. C. Ntiso
  3. 28R. Christiansen
  1. 23F. Christensen
  2. 8A. Dybevik
  3. 17M. Gjerstrøm
  1. 3S. Norheim
  2. 2V. Fors
  3. 12M. Mbow
  4. 19E. Nielsen
  1. 93A. Gorodovoy

Stabaek

4-3-3
  1. 24J. Hanstad
  2. 9A. Sanyang
  3. 8M. Dahlby
  1. 6A. Matić
  2. 7O. Solnørdal
  3. 21F. Krogstad
  1. 4N. Næss
  2. 2F. Riise
  3. 29K. Ekorness
  4. 5J. Skjelvik
  1. 22M. Ulla

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kongsvinger have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Stabaek have 9, 0 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kongsvinger
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 5, 2026Moss(away)2-01. Division
Sep 20, 2026hodd(home)5-11. Division
Sep 16, 2026Eidsvold(away)3-2NM Cupen
Sep 13, 2026Egersund(away)1-11. Division
Sep 5, 2026Raufoss(home)9-11. Division
Stabaek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Haugesund(away)0-21. Division
Sep 20, 2026Sogndal(home)2-11. Division
Sep 16, 2026Pors Grenland(away)1-2NM Cupen
Sep 12, 2026Bryne(away)0-21. Division
Sep 5, 2026Moss(home)2-31. Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kongsvinger wins, 1 draw, 2 Stabaek wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 25, 2026Stabaek 2-0 Kongsvinger1. Division
Mar 21, 2026Stabaek 2-3 KongsvingerFriendlies Clubs
Aug 10, 2025Kongsvinger 2-1 Stabaek1. Division
May 31, 2025Stabaek 2-2 Kongsvinger1. Division
Mar 23, 2025Kongsvinger 1-0 StabaekFriendlies Clubs
Oct 21, 2024Kongsvinger 1-3 Stabaek1. Division

Last archived meeting: Stabaek vs Kongsvinger on May 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kongsvinger score 4.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Stabaek score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kongsvinger4.11.8213/1512/15
Stabaek2.31.357/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kongsvinger sit 2nd in 1. Division (53 points from 24 matches) and Stabaek sit 4th (45 points from 24 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Kongsvinger241653703553
4Stabaek241437573145

A question about Kongsvinger vs Stabaek?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kongsvinger vs Stabaek?
The Footlab AI model makes Kongsvinger the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Stabaek.
Where and when is Kongsvinger vs Stabaek played?
Kongsvinger vs Stabaek is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gjemselund Stadion, in the 1. Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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