Kongsvinger vs Stabaek: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gjemselund Stadion, Kongsvinger
The Footlab model makes Kongsvinger the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 38% for Stabaek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kongsvinger vs Stabaek?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Kongsvinger (1,960) and Stabaek (1,947).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kongsvinger have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Stabaek have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Skreia(away) | 14-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Haugesund(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Asane(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Strommen(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sandnes ULF(away) | 6-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Heming(away) | 2-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Egersund(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lyn(home) | 4-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Raufoss(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 27, 2026 | hodd(home) | 6-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kongsvinger win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Stabaek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Stabaek 2-0 Kongsvinger | 1. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Stabaek 2-3 Kongsvinger | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Kongsvinger 2-1 Stabaek | 1. Division |
| May 31, 2025 | Stabaek 2-2 Kongsvinger | 1. Division |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Kongsvinger 1-0 Stabaek | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Kongsvinger 1-3 Stabaek | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Stabaek vs Kongsvinger on May 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kongsvinger score 3.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Stabaek score 2.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kongsvinger | 3.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Stabaek | 2.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kongsvinger sit 2nd in 1. Division (39 points from 18 matches) and Stabaek sit 1st (39 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stabaek | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 39 |
| 2 | Kongsvinger | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 28 | 39 |
| 2 | Kongsvinger | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 26 |
| 5 | Stabaek | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kongsvinger vs Stabaek?
- The Footlab model makes Kongsvinger the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 38% for Stabaek.
- Where and when is Kongsvinger vs Stabaek played?
- Kongsvinger vs Stabaek is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gjemselund Stadion, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.