Stromsgodset vs Moss: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Marienlyst Stadion, Drammen
The Footlab model makes Stromsgodset the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Moss. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stromsgodset vs Moss?
Stromsgodset starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,879 vs 1,730).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stromsgodset have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Moss have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ranheim(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Egersund(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bryne(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lyn(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 4, 2026 | hodd(away) | 3-4 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lørenskog(away) | 3-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bryne(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | ODD Ballklubb(home) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | hodd(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Raufoss(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Stromsgodset win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Moss win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Moss 1-1 Stromsgodset | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Stromsgodset score 2.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Moss score 1.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stromsgodset | 2.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Moss | 1.7 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stromsgodset sit 4th in 1. Division (35 points from 18 matches) and Moss sit 13th (18 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stromsgodset | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | Stromsgodset | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 26 | 35 |
| 7 | Moss | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 22 | 17 |
| 13 | Moss | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 41 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stromsgodset vs Moss?
- The Footlab model makes Stromsgodset the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Moss.
- Where and when is Stromsgodset vs Moss played?
- Stromsgodset vs Moss is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Marienlyst Stadion, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.