Ranheim vs Sogndal: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)EXTRA Arena, Ranheim
The Footlab model makes Ranheim the favourite at 57%, against 19% for a draw and 24% for Sogndal. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ranheim vs Sogndal?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Ranheim (1,793) and Sogndal (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ranheim have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Sogndal have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Steinkjer(away) | 6-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stromsgodset(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Strommen(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Haugesund(home) | 3-4 | 1. Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sogndal(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fjøra(away) | 8-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sandnes ULF(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bryne(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lyn(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ranheim(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ranheim win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sogndal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sogndal 3-2 Ranheim | 1. Division |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Sogndal 0-3 Ranheim | 1. Division |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Ranheim 1-2 Sogndal | 1. Division |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Sogndal 0-2 Ranheim | 1. Division |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Ranheim 3-0 Sogndal | 1. Division |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Sogndal 1-2 Ranheim | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Ranheim score 2.5 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sogndal score 2.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ranheim | 2.5 | 2.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Sogndal | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ranheim sit 9th in 1. Division (23 points from 18 matches) and Sogndal sit 10th (21 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ranheim | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 26 | 20 |
| 9 | Ranheim | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 45 | 23 |
| 10 | Sogndal | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 43 | 21 |
| 12 | Sogndal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 26 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ranheim vs Sogndal?
- The Footlab model makes Ranheim the favourite at 57%, against 19% for a draw and 24% for Sogndal.
- Where and when is Ranheim vs Sogndal played?
- Ranheim vs Sogndal is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at EXTRA Arena, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.