Match

Koninklijke HFC vs Katwijk: prediction and stats

Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Groenendaal, Heemstede

Koninklijke HFCKatwijk

The Footlab model makes Katwijk the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Koninklijke HFC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Koninklijke HFC vs Katwijk?

Katwijk starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,869 vs 1,745).

Koninklijke HFC win35 %
Draw26 %
Katwijk win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Koninklijke HFC have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; Katwijk have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Koninklijke HFC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Barendrecht(home)1-2Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026Hoek(away)1-3Tweede Divisie
Aug 8, 2026ADO '20(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Spakenburg(home)3-2Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026ACV(away)0-1Tweede Divisie
Katwijk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hoek(home)1-1Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026Spakenburg(away)0-1Tweede Divisie
May 23, 2026Sparta Rotterdam II(home)4-1Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026Spakenburg(away)1-2Tweede Divisie
May 9, 2026Koninklijke HFC(home)4-0Tweede Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Koninklijke HFC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Katwijk win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Katwijk 4-0 Koninklijke HFCTweede Divisie
Nov 29, 2025Koninklijke HFC 0-2 KatwijkTweede Divisie
Jul 26, 2025Katwijk 0-0 Koninklijke HFCFriendlies Clubs
Jan 25, 2025Katwijk 0-1 Koninklijke HFCTweede Divisie
Aug 31, 2024Koninklijke HFC 0-0 KatwijkTweede Divisie
Apr 13, 2024Katwijk 3-1 Koninklijke HFCTweede Divisie

Last archived meeting: Katwijk vs Koninklijke HFC on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Koninklijke HFC score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Katwijk score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Koninklijke HFC0.91.637/158/15
Katwijk2.11.6211/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Koninklijke HFC sit 15th in Tweede Divisie (0 points from 2 matches) and Katwijk sit 14th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Katwijk2011121
15Koninklijke HFC2002250

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Koninklijke HFC vs Katwijk?
The Footlab model makes Katwijk the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Koninklijke HFC.
Where and when is Koninklijke HFC vs Katwijk played?
Koninklijke HFC vs Katwijk is played on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Groenendaal, in the Tweede Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Koninklijke HFC and Katwijk

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