Korona Kielce II vs Czarni Połaniec: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Korona, Kielce
The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce II the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Czarni Połaniec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Korona Kielce II vs Czarni Połaniec?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Korona Kielce II (1,772) and Czarni Połaniec (1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korona Kielce II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Czarni Połaniec have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | KSZO 1929(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 4-5 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Star Starachowice(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Korona Kielce II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Czarni Połaniec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korona Kielce II 3-4 Czarni Połaniec | III Liga - Group 4 |
| May 22, 2026 | Korona Kielce II 2-1 Czarni Połaniec | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Czarni Połaniec 4-0 Korona Kielce II | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Korona Kielce II 3-0 Czarni Połaniec | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Czarni Połaniec 0-0 Korona Kielce II | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Korona Kielce II 3-4 Czarni Połaniec | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Korona Kielce II vs Czarni Połaniec on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Korona Kielce II score 2.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Czarni Połaniec score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce II | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Czarni Połaniec | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Korona Kielce II sit 17th in III Liga - Group 4 (1 points from 5 matches) and Czarni Połaniec sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Czarni Połaniec | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Korona Kielce II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Korona Kielce II vs Czarni Połaniec?
- The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce II the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Czarni Połaniec.
- Where and when is Korona Kielce II vs Czarni Połaniec played?
- Korona Kielce II vs Czarni Połaniec is played on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Korona, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 22, 2026Star Starachowice1-1Busko-Zdroj
- Mar 13, 2027Chełmianka ChełmvsNaprzód
- Mar 13, 2027Siarka TarnobrzegvsSokół Kolb.
- Mar 13, 2027Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsJarosław
- Mar 13, 2027Wiślanie JaśkowicevsHetman Zamosc
- Mar 13, 2027Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsKSZO 1929
- Mar 13, 2027KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsWisłoka Dębica
- Mar 13, 2027Moravia MorawicavsWisła Kraków II