Match

Chełmianka Chełm vs Naprzód: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Chełm

Chełmianka ChełmNaprzód

The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Naprzód. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chełmianka Chełm vs Naprzód?

Chełmianka Chełm starts as the favourite with a 238-point Elo edge (1,929 vs 1,691).

Chełmianka Chełm win70 %
Draw18 %
Naprzód win11 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chełmianka Chełm have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Naprzód have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chełmianka Chełm
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Naprzód(away)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Wisłoka Dębica(home)2-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Moravia Morawica(away)3-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Sokół Kolb.(home)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away)1-0III Liga - Group 4
Naprzód
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Chełmianka Chełm(home)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Moravia Morawica(away)2-4III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home)2-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Korona Kielce II(home)5-4III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Chełmianka Chełm win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Naprzód win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Naprzód 0-2 Chełmianka ChełmIII Liga - Group 4
May 23, 2026Chełmianka Chełm 2-0 NaprzódIII Liga - Group 4
Nov 9, 2025Naprzód 0-2 Chełmianka ChełmIII Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Naprzód vs Chełmianka Chełm on Aug 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chełmianka Chełm score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Naprzód score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chełmianka Chełm2.10.987/158/15
Naprzód1.51.827/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chełmianka Chełm sit 1st in III Liga - Group 4 (15 points from 5 matches) and Naprzód sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chełmianka Chełm550010115
12Naprzód52039136

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chełmianka Chełm vs Naprzód?
The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Naprzód.
Where and when is Chełmianka Chełm vs Naprzód played?
Chełmianka Chełm vs Naprzód is played on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chełmianka Chełm and Naprzód

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