Where and when is Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Jarosław played?

Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Jarosław is played on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Jarosław: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Biała Podlaska

Podlasie Biała Podlaska

Jarosław

The Footlab model makes Podlasie Biała Podlaska the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Jarosław. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Jarosław?

A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Podlasie Biała Podlaska (1,795) and Jarosław (1,749).

Podlasie Biała Podlaska win48 %

Draw24 %

Jarosław win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podlasie Biała Podlaska have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Jarosław have 7, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Jarosław(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Busko-Zdroj(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(away)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 7, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	KSZO 1929(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4

Jarosław
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away)	3-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Wisłoka Dębica(away)	1-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Sokół Kolb.(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Podlasie Biała Podlaska win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Jarosław win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Jarosław 2-0 Podlasie Biała Podlaska	III Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Jarosław vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Podlasie Biała Podlaska score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Jarosław score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1.9	1.1	4	9/15	7/15
Jarosław	2.2	1.7	1	11/13	11/13

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Podlasie Biała Podlaska sit 8th in III Liga - Group 4 (7 points from 5 matches) and Jarosław sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Jarosław	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
8	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	5	2	1	2	5	5	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Jarosław?: The Footlab model makes Podlasie Biała Podlaska the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Jarosław.
Where and when is Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Jarosław played?: Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Jarosław is played on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.