Korsnäs vs Falu BS: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Norra SvealandNorra Svealand - 26Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Lindvallen, Falun
The Footlab model makes Falu BS the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Korsnäs. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Korsnäs vs Falu BS?
Falu BS starts as the favourite with a 288-point Elo edge (1,549 vs 1,261).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korsnäs have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Falu BS have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gute(home) | 1-4 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Enskede(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Täby(away) | 1-5 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Helges(home) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Bollstanäs(away) | 1-5 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Helges(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Franke(home) | 3-1 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sunnersta(home) | 1-3 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Skiljebo(away) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Lidingö(home) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Korsnäs win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Falu BS win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Falu BS 2-1 Korsnäs | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Korsnäs 3-2 Falu BS | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| May 17, 2025 | Falu BS 1-0 Korsnäs | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
How many goals should we expect?
Korsnäs score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Falu BS score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korsnäs | 0.9 | 2.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Falu BS | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Korsnäs sit 12th in Division 2 - Norra Svealand (9 points from 12 matches) and Falu BS sit 4th (25 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Falu BS | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 25 |
| 4 | Falu BS | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 34 |
| 12 | Korsnäs | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 9 |
| 13 | Korsnäs | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 43 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Korsnäs vs Falu BS?
- The Footlab model makes Falu BS the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Korsnäs.
- Where and when is Korsnäs vs Falu BS played?
- Korsnäs vs Falu BS is played on October 17, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Lindvallen, in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.