Kowloon City vs Kitchee: prediction and stats
League CupLosers Play OffsKick-off on November 14, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Sham Shui Po Sports Ground, Kowloon
The Footlab AI model makes Kitchee the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Kowloon City. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kowloon City vs Kitchee?
Kitchee starts as the favourite with a 297-point Elo edge (1,652 vs 1,355).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kowloon City vs Kitchee
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kowloon City
4-3-3- 10Rikelmi
- 17Kwok Chun Nok
- 9Nikola Popović
- 5Diego Eli
- 24S. Lucena
- 7Mikael
- 4Kang Jun-Hyun
- 2Yu Pui Hong
- 20Yim Kai-Cheuk
- 21Tsang Kam To
- 22Tin-Lok Kwong
Kitchee
4-2-3-1- 9Revilla
- 18Everton Camargo
- 15Camarasa
- 7R. Mingazow
- 21Koldo Obieta
- 30Walter
- 3Roger Riera
- 14Kam Chi Kin Jason
- 22C. Beattie
- 27Lam Jordan Lok Kan
- 17Pong Cheuk Hei
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 08:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kowloon City have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Kitchee have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | BC Rangers(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | North District(away) | 3-3 | Senior Shield |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 4-1 | Senior Shield |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown(home) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown(away) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 2-4 | Senior Shield |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Warriors(away) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Kuching FA(away) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kowloon City win, 0 draws, 5 Kitchee wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Kitchee 1-0 Kowloon City | League Cup |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Kitchee 4-0 Kowloon City | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Kowloon City 0-5 Kitchee | Premier League |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Kitchee 2-3 Kowloon City | Premier League |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Kowloon City 0-5 Kitchee | Premier League |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Kitchee 6-1 Kowloon City | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Kitchee vs Kowloon City on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kowloon City score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kitchee score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kowloon City | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Kitchee | 2.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Kowloon City vs Kitchee?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kowloon City vs Kitchee?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kitchee the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Kowloon City.
- Where and when is Kowloon City vs Kitchee played?
- Kowloon City vs Kitchee is played on November 14, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Sham Shui Po Sports Ground, in the League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.