Kozara Gradiška vs Velež Nevesinje: prediction and stats
1st League - RSRS - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Gradiška
The Footlab model makes Kozara Gradiška the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Velež Nevesinje. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kozara Gradiška vs Velež Nevesinje?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Kozara Gradiška (1,304) and Velež Nevesinje (1,278).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kozara Gradiška have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Velež Nevesinje have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Famos Vojkovići(away) | 1-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 30, 2026 | BSK Banja Luka(home) | 3-1 | 1st League - RS |
| May 23, 2026 | Laktaši(away) | 0-2 | 1st League - RS |
| May 16, 2026 | Slavija(home) | 0-3 | 1st League - RS |
| May 9, 2026 | Drina Zvornik(away) | 1-1 | 1st League - RS |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slavija(home) | 1-1 | 1st League - RS |
| May 30, 2026 | FK Romanija Pale(away) | 4-3 | 1st League - RS |
| May 27, 2026 | Sutjeska Foča(home) | 6-2 | 1st League - RS |
| May 23, 2026 | Zvijezda 09(away) | 1-6 | 1st League - RS |
| May 19, 2026 | FK Vlasenica(home) | 2-1 | 1st League - RS |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kozara Gradiška win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Velež Nevesinje win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Velež Nevesinje 1-1 Kozara Gradiška | 1st League - RS |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Kozara Gradiška 4-3 Velež Nevesinje | 1st League - RS |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Kozara Gradiška 2-1 Velež Nevesinje | 1st League - RS |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Velež Nevesinje 0-0 Kozara Gradiška | 1st League - RS |
| Mar 27, 2024 | Kozara Gradiška 5-0 Velež Nevesinje | 1st League - RS |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Velež Nevesinje 1-0 Kozara Gradiška | 1st League - RS |
Last archived meeting: Velež Nevesinje vs Kozara Gradiška on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kozara Gradiška score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Velež Nevesinje score 1.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kozara Gradiška | 0.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Velež Nevesinje | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kozara Gradiška sit 4th in 1st League - RS (40 points from 29 matches) and Velež Nevesinje sit 3rd (39 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Velež Nevesinje | 29 | 12 | 3 | 14 | 43 | 54 | 39 |
| 4 | Kozara Gradiška | 29 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 34 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kozara Gradiška vs Velež Nevesinje?
- The Footlab model makes Kozara Gradiška the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Velež Nevesinje.
- Where and when is Kozara Gradiška vs Velež Nevesinje played?
- Kozara Gradiška vs Velež Nevesinje is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the 1st League - RS.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.