Zvijezda 09 vs Leotar: prediction and stats
1st League - RSRS - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Novi Gradski Stadion, Ugljevik
The Footlab model makes Leotar the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Zvijezda 09. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zvijezda 09 vs Leotar?
Leotar starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,431 vs 1,318).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zvijezda 09 have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Leotar have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laktaši(home) | 0-3 | 1st League - RS |
| Jun 3, 2026 | FK Vlasenica(away) | 4-1 | 1st League - RS |
| May 30, 2026 | Omarska(home) | 0-2 | 1st League - RS |
| May 27, 2026 | Famos Vojkovići(away) | 0-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 23, 2026 | Velež Nevesinje(home) | 6-1 | 1st League - RS |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Drina Zvornik(home) | 2-2 | 1st League - RS |
| May 24, 2026 | BSK Banja Luka(away) | 0-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 16, 2026 | Laktaši(home) | 0-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 10, 2026 | Slavija(away) | 0-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 2, 2026 | Kozara Gradiška(home) | 2-0 | 1st League - RS |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Zvijezda 09 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Leotar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Leotar 3-0 Zvijezda 09 | 1st League - RS |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Zvijezda 09 0-1 Leotar | 1st League - RS |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Zvijezda 09 2-1 Leotar | 1st League - RS |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Leotar 1-2 Zvijezda 09 | 1st League - RS |
| May 1, 2021 | Zvijezda 09 3-1 Leotar | 1st League - RS |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Leotar 0-1 Zvijezda 09 | 1st League - RS |
Last archived meeting: Leotar vs Zvijezda 09 on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zvijezda 09 score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leotar score 1.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zvijezda 09 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Leotar | 1.5 | 0.6 | 10 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zvijezda 09 sit 1st in 1st League - RS (43 points from 30 matches) and Leotar sit 2nd (53 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zvijezda 09 | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 37 | 43 |
| 2 | Leotar | 29 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 41 | 17 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zvijezda 09 vs Leotar?
- The Footlab model makes Leotar the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Zvijezda 09.
- Where and when is Zvijezda 09 vs Leotar played?
- Zvijezda 09 vs Leotar is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Novi Gradski Stadion, in the 1st League - RS.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.