Where and when is Kozlovice vs Karviná played?

Kozlovice vs Karviná is played on August 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Areal Sportu Kozlovice, in the Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kozlovice vs Karviná: prediction and stats

CupRound of 64Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Areal Sportu Kozlovice, Kozlovice

Kozlovice

Karviná

The Footlab model makes Karviná the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Kozlovice. The most likely score is 0-3.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kozlovice vs Karviná?

Karviná starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,944 vs 1,757).

Kozlovice win9 %

Draw14 %

Karviná win78 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kozlovice have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Karviná have 10, 0 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kozlovice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Šternberk(home)	1-0	4. liga - Divizie E
Aug 19, 2026	Slavičín(home)	4-3	Cup
Aug 14, 2026	Strání(away)	2-2	4. liga - Divizie E
Aug 9, 2026	Bzenec(home)	5-1	4. liga - Divizie E
Jul 26, 2026	Frýdek-Místek(home)	0-0	Cup

Karviná
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Viktoria Žižkov(home)	3-0	FNL
Aug 15, 2026	Arsenal Česká Lípa(away)	5-2	FNL
Aug 12, 2026	Brumov(away)	4-0	Cup
Aug 7, 2026	Prostějov(away)	2-1	FNL
Jul 31, 2026	Vlašim(home)	1-0	FNL

How many goals should we expect?

Kozlovice score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Karviná score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kozlovice	2.3	1.1	5	8/15	9/15
Karviná	1.9	1.3	4	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kozlovice vs Karviná?: The Footlab model makes Karviná the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Kozlovice.
Where and when is Kozlovice vs Karviná played?: Kozlovice vs Karviná is played on August 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Areal Sportu Kozlovice, in the Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.