Kozuv Gevgelija vs Belasica: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Kožuf, Gevgelija
The Footlab model makes Belasica the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Kozuv Gevgelija. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kozuv Gevgelija vs Belasica?
Belasica starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,442 vs 1,333).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kozuv Gevgelija have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Belasica have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shkupi 1927(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(away) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Detonit Plachkovica(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Belasica(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Novaci(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Novaci(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Osogovo(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Detonit Plachkovica(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kozuv Gevgelija(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kozuv Gevgelija win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Belasica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kozuv Gevgelija 0-2 Belasica | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Belasica 0-0 Kozuv Gevgelija | Second League |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Kozuv Gevgelija 1-1 Belasica | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Kozuv Gevgelija 0-2 Belasica | Second League |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Belasica 3-2 Kozuv Gevgelija | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Kozuv Gevgelija 1-1 Belasica | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Kozuv Gevgelija vs Belasica on Jul 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kozuv Gevgelija score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Belasica score 1.3 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kozuv Gevgelija | 2.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 3/15 | 8/15 |
| Belasica | 1.3 | 0.4 | 10 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kozuv Gevgelija sit 8th in Second League (3 points from 2 matches) and Belasica sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belasica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Kozuv Gevgelija | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kozuv Gevgelija vs Belasica?
- The Footlab model makes Belasica the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Kozuv Gevgelija.
- Where and when is Kozuv Gevgelija vs Belasica played?
- Kozuv Gevgelija vs Belasica is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Kožuf, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.