Osogovo vs Kozuv Gevgelija: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Nikola Mantov, Kočani
The Footlab model makes Osogovo the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Kozuv Gevgelija. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Osogovo vs Kozuv Gevgelija?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Osogovo (1,344) and Kozuv Gevgelija (1,333).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osogovo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kozuv Gevgelija have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kamjani(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Belasica(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| May 23, 2026 | Novaci(away) | 3-3 | Second League |
| May 16, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| May 10, 2026 | Vardar Negotino(away) | 4-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shkupi 1927(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(away) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Detonit Plachkovica(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Belasica(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Novaci(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Osogovo win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Kozuv Gevgelija win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Osogovo 0-1 Kozuv Gevgelija | Second League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Kozuv Gevgelija 0-0 Osogovo | Second League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Osogovo 0-0 Kozuv Gevgelija | Second League |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Kozuv Gevgelija 4-1 Osogovo | Second League |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Kozuv Gevgelija 2-0 Osogovo | Second League |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Osogovo 3-2 Kozuv Gevgelija | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Osogovo vs Kozuv Gevgelija on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Osogovo score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kozuv Gevgelija score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osogovo | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Kozuv Gevgelija | 2.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 3/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Osogovo sit 11th in Second League (0 points from 2 matches) and Kozuv Gevgelija sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kozuv Gevgelija | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Osogovo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Osogovo vs Kozuv Gevgelija?
- The Footlab model makes Osogovo the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Kozuv Gevgelija.
- Where and when is Osogovo vs Kozuv Gevgelija played?
- Osogovo vs Kozuv Gevgelija is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Nikola Mantov, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.