KRC Genk II vs Excelsior Virton: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueMatchday 18Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Cegeka Arena, Genk
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior Virton the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for KRC Genk II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Excelsior Virton wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,659 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KRC Genk II vs Excelsior Virton?
Excelsior Virton starts as the favourite with a 219-point Elo edge (2,035 vs 1,816).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for KRC Genk II vs Excelsior Virton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
KRC Genk II
4-4-2- 66J. Coenen
- 76J. Driessen
- 78K. Achahbar
- 2K. Pierre
- 75P. Ogbeiwi
- 79D. Nzoko
- 73E. Mbavu
- 55Y. Yoshinaga
- 65C. Akpan
- 34A. Palacios
- 97E. Doucouré
Excelsior Virton
4-1-4-1- 11A. Hachem
- 8G. Arib
- 13A. Dembélé
- 10P. Wade
- 22S. Assengue
- 19I. Goudani
- 3A. Tchaptchet
- 4E. Kari
- 6M. Guillaume
- 18J. Ntenda
- 1C. De Schrevel
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 10:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KRC Genk II have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Excelsior Virton have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | KAA Gent II(home) | 1-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Dender(away) | 1-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Club Brugge II(home) | 0-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Patro Eisden(away) | 0-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 2-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Beerschot VA(home) | 1-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | AS Eupen(away) | 2-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Seraing United(away) | 1-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Genk(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 3-4 | Challenger Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 KRC Genk II win, 1 draw, 3 Excelsior Virton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Excelsior Virton 3-0 KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| May 12, 2023 | Excelsior Virton 3-1 KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 17, 2023 | KRC Genk II 1-1 Excelsior Virton | Challenger Pro League |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Excelsior Virton 0-1 KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 11, 2022 | KRC Genk II 0-1 Excelsior Virton | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior Virton vs KRC Genk II on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KRC Genk II score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior Virton score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRC Genk II | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Excelsior Virton | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KRC Genk II sit 10th in Challenger Pro League (10 points from 10 matches) and Excelsior Virton sit 8th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Excelsior Virton | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 13 |
| 10 | KRC Genk II | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 10 |
A question about KRC Genk II vs Excelsior Virton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KRC Genk II vs Excelsior Virton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior Virton the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for KRC Genk II.
- Where and when is KRC Genk II vs Excelsior Virton played?
- KRC Genk II vs Excelsior Virton is played on January 30, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Cegeka Arena, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.