KRC Genk II vs Excelsior Virton: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Cegeka Arena, Genk
The Footlab model makes Excelsior Virton the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for KRC Genk II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KRC Genk II vs Excelsior Virton?
Excelsior Virton is a heavy favourite: 1,987 Elo points against 1,667 — a 320-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KRC Genk II have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Excelsior Virton have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Liège(home) | 2-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AS Eupen(away) | 1-4 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zelzate(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Royal Antwerp II(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(away) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 3-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Strasbourg II(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rochefort(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 KRC Genk II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Excelsior Virton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2023 | Excelsior Virton 3-1 KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 17, 2023 | KRC Genk II 1-1 Excelsior Virton | Challenger Pro League |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Excelsior Virton 0-1 KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 11, 2022 | KRC Genk II 0-1 Excelsior Virton | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior Virton vs KRC Genk II on May 12, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
KRC Genk II score 2.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior Virton score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRC Genk II | 2.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Excelsior Virton | 1.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KRC Genk II sit 14th in Challenger Pro League (0 points from 2 matches) and Excelsior Virton sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior Virton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | KRC Genk II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KRC Genk II vs Excelsior Virton?
- The Footlab model makes Excelsior Virton the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for KRC Genk II.
- Where and when is KRC Genk II vs Excelsior Virton played?
- KRC Genk II vs Excelsior Virton is played on January 30, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Cegeka Arena, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.