Krieschow vs SC Freital: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdNOFV- Sud - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Krieschow, Kolkwitz
The Footlab model makes SC Freital the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Krieschow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Krieschow vs SC Freital?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Krieschow (1,735) and SC Freital (1,801).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Krieschow have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; SC Freital have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05(home) | 0-9 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ZFC Meuselwitz(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Union Sandersdorf(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sparta Lichtenberg(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 0-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Frankfurt(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dresden II(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 30, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | Auerbach(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 10, 2026 | Germania Halberstadt(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Krieschow win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 SC Freital win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | SC Freital 2-1 Krieschow | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Krieschow 2-2 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 4, 2025 | SC Freital 1-0 Krieschow | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Krieschow 1-1 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Apr 14, 2024 | SC Freital 3-1 Krieschow | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Krieschow 0-1 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
Last archived meeting: SC Freital vs Krieschow on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Krieschow score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freital score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krieschow | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| SC Freital | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Krieschow sit 14th in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd (0 points from 2 matches) and SC Freital sit 5th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | SC Freital | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Krieschow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Krieschow vs SC Freital?
- The Footlab model makes SC Freital the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Krieschow.
- Where and when is Krieschow vs SC Freital played?
- Krieschow vs SC Freital is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Krieschow, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.