Weissenfels vs Dresden II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdNOFV- Sud - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Weissenfels the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Dresden II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Weissenfels vs Dresden II?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Weissenfels (1,764) and Dresden II (1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Weissenfels have 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Dresden II have 1, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Union Sandersdorf(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Frankfurt(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eilenburg(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SC Freital(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lichtenberg(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Weissenfels score 2.0 and concede 0.0 goals per match over their last 2; Dresden II score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weissenfels | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0/2 | 1/2 |
| Dresden II | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1 | 2/3 | 0/3 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Weissenfels sit 2nd in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd (6 points from 2 matches) and Dresden II sit 8th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Weissenfels | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Dresden II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Weissenfels vs Dresden II?
- The Footlab model makes Weissenfels the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Dresden II.
- Where and when is Weissenfels vs Dresden II played?
- Weissenfels vs Dresden II is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.