Union Sandersdorf vs Budissa Bautzen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdNOFV- Sud - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sport- und Freizeitzentrum Sandersdorf, Sandersdorf-Brehna
The Footlab model makes Union Sandersdorf the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Budissa Bautzen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Sandersdorf vs Budissa Bautzen?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Union Sandersdorf (1,705) and Budissa Bautzen (1,714).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Sandersdorf have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Budissa Bautzen have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Weissenfels(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Krieschow(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 30, 2026 | Empor Glauchau(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | FC Lok Stendal(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 9, 2026 | Bischofswerdaer FV(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Einheit Rudolstadt(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Eilenburg(home) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(home) | 0-14 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Auerbach(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | Germania Halberstadt(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Union Sandersdorf win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Budissa Bautzen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Budissa Bautzen 3-1 Union Sandersdorf | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Union Sandersdorf 0-0 Budissa Bautzen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Budissa Bautzen 1-0 Union Sandersdorf | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Union Sandersdorf 3-1 Budissa Bautzen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Budissa Bautzen 3-0 Union Sandersdorf | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Union Sandersdorf 1-0 Budissa Bautzen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
Last archived meeting: Budissa Bautzen vs Union Sandersdorf on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Sandersdorf score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Budissa Bautzen score 1.7 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Sandersdorf | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Budissa Bautzen | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Sandersdorf sit 7th in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd (3 points from 2 matches) and Budissa Bautzen sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Union Sandersdorf | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Budissa Bautzen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Sandersdorf vs Budissa Bautzen?
- The Footlab model makes Union Sandersdorf the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Budissa Bautzen.
- Where and when is Union Sandersdorf vs Budissa Bautzen played?
- Union Sandersdorf vs Budissa Bautzen is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sport- und Freizeitzentrum Sandersdorf, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.