Ksour Essef vs Ariana: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 4Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Ksour Essef the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Ariana. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ksour Essef vs Ariana?
On Elo ratings, Ksour Essef has 1,615 points and Ariana 1,621.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ksour Essef vs Ariana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ksour Essef
Not enough data to predict the Ksour Essef lineup.
Ariana
Not enough data to predict the Ariana lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ksour Essef have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Ariana have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | JS Kairouanaise(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CO Medenine(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Olympique du Kef(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kerkennah(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 12, 2026 | AS Kasserine(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kalaâ Sport(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Jendouba Sport(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Stade Gabesien(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| May 12, 2026 | Moknine(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | EGS Gafsa(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ksour Essef win, 0 draws, 1 Ariana win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Ariana 1-0 Ksour Essef | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Ksour Essef 2-0 Ariana | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: Ariana vs Ksour Essef on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ksour Essef score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ariana score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ksour Essef | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Ariana | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ksour Essef sit 4th in Ligue 2 (7 points from 3 matches) and Ariana sit 15th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ksour Essef | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Ariana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
A question about Ksour Essef vs Ariana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ksour Essef vs Ariana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ksour Essef the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Ariana.
- Where and when is Ksour Essef vs Ariana played?
- Ksour Essef vs Ariana is played on October 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.