Kumla vs IF Karlstad II: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Norra GötalandNorra Götaland - 26Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kumla IP, Kumla
The Footlab model makes Kumla the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for IF Karlstad II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kumla vs IF Karlstad II?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Kumla (1,375) and IF Karlstad II (1,337).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kumla have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; IF Karlstad II have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Husqvarna(home) | 2-6 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stenungsund(away) | 0-5 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vänersborgs IF(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Tord(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Grebbestad(away) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Motala(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lidköping(home) | 0-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ahlafors(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Grebbestad(home) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Husqvarna(away) | 1-3 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Kumla win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 IF Karlstad II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | IF Karlstad II 1-1 Kumla | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Nov 6, 2021 | IF Karlstad II 3-0 Kumla | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 30, 2021 | Kumla 1-1 IF Karlstad II | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
Last archived meeting: IF Karlstad II vs Kumla on May 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kumla score 0.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; IF Karlstad II score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kumla | 0.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| IF Karlstad II | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kumla sit 7th in Division 2 - Norra Götaland (17 points from 13 matches) and IF Karlstad II sit 11th (10 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kumla | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
| 9 | Kumla | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 20 |
| 11 | IF Karlstad II | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 10 |
| 13 | IF Karlstad II | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kumla vs IF Karlstad II?
- The Footlab model makes Kumla the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for IF Karlstad II.
- Where and when is Kumla vs IF Karlstad II played?
- Kumla vs IF Karlstad II is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kumla IP, in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.