Herrestads vs Ahlafors: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Norra GötalandNorra Götaland - 26Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Undavallen Konstgräs, Uddevalla
The Footlab model makes Herrestads the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Ahlafors. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Herrestads vs Ahlafors?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Herrestads (1,520) and Ahlafors (1,544).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Herrestads have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ahlafors have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vänersborgs IF(home) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | IFK Skövde(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tord(home) | 3-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Vänersborgs FK(away) | 4-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Skara(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lidköping(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Grebbestad(home) | 3-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | IF Karlstad II(home) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | IFK Skövde(away) | 0-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Tord(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Herrestads win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Ahlafors win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Ahlafors 5-0 Herrestads | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Herrestads 4-0 Ahlafors | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Ahlafors 2-0 Herrestads | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Ahlafors 2-1 Herrestads | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| May 17, 2024 | Herrestads 2-0 Ahlafors | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 26, 2022 | Ahlafors 2-0 Herrestads | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
Last archived meeting: Ahlafors vs Herrestads on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Herrestads score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ahlafors score 2.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herrestads | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Ahlafors | 2.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Herrestads sit 8th in Division 2 - Norra Götaland (17 points from 13 matches) and Ahlafors sit 4th (22 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ahlafors | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 22 |
| 4 | Ahlafors | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 22 | 31 |
| 6 | Herrestads | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 33 | 27 |
| 8 | Herrestads | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 24 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Herrestads vs Ahlafors?
- The Footlab model makes Herrestads the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Ahlafors.
- Where and when is Herrestads vs Ahlafors played?
- Herrestads vs Ahlafors is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Undavallen Konstgräs, in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.