KuPS vs VPS: prediction and stats
VeikkausliigaChampionship Group - 28Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Väre Areena, Kuopio
The Footlab AI model makes KuPS the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for VPS. The most likely score is 1-1. If KuPS wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KuPS vs VPS?
KuPS starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,827 vs 1,717).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for KuPS vs VPS
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
KuPS
4-2-3-1- 11J. Moreno
- 8P. Pennanen
- 10V. Gasc
- 16T. Jyry
- 24B. Armah
- 22S. Touray
- 25C. Antwi
- 28B. Magassa
- 23A. Lötjönen
- 29A. Puukko
- 1J. Kreidl
VPS
3-4-1-2- 26Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi
- 30J. Vahtera
- 27K. Kouassivi-Benissan
- 8Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima
- 34A. Räisänen
- 7J. Turfkruier
- 24Y. Daoussi
- 23M. Niemi
- 6E. Okereke
- 2L. Mane
- 41M. Jalloh
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KuPS have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; VPS have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 8, 2026 | AC Oulu(home) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | VPS(away) | 2-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(home) | 0-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Gnistan(away) | 1-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Gnistan(home) | 1-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 8, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(away) | 0-6 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | KuPS(home) | 0-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | AC Oulu(home) | 1-0 | Veikkausliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 KuPS wins, 3 draws, 0 VPS wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | VPS 0-2 KuPS | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | KuPS 3-1 VPS | Veikkausliiga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | VPS 1-1 KuPS | Veikkausliiga |
| Jun 10, 2026 | KuPS 0-0 VPS | Suomen Cup |
| Jan 31, 2026 | KuPS 3-1 VPS | League Cup |
| Jul 19, 2025 | VPS 1-1 KuPS | Veikkausliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
KuPS score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; VPS score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KuPS | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| VPS | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KuPS sit 3rd in Veikkausliiga (48 points from 27 matches) and VPS sit 5th (39 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | KuPS | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 48 |
| 5 | VPS | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 39 |
A question about KuPS vs VPS?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KuPS vs VPS?
- The Footlab AI model makes KuPS the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for VPS.
- Where and when is KuPS vs VPS played?
- KuPS vs VPS is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Väre Areena, in the Veikkausliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.