Standard Liege vs KV Mechelen: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueMatchday 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Luik
The Footlab AI model makes Standard Liege the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for KV Mechelen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Standard Liege wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,538 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Standard Liege vs KV Mechelen?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Standard Liege (2,052) and KV Mechelen (2,003).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Standard Liege vs KV Mechelen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Standard Liege
4-2-3-1- 10D. Eckert Ayensa
- 22A. Trouillet
- 11A. Abid
- 15S. Drammeh
- 84R. Touzghar
- 80R. Fosso
- 20I. Karamoko
- 25I. Hautekiet
- 3G. Mortensen
- 13M. Fossey
- 1M. Epolo
KV Mechelen
3-4-1-2- 9M. van Brederode
- 14B. Raman
- 6F. Hammar
- 7T. Koudou
- 30Marco Decherf
- 23S. Michez
- 26D. Praet
- 3José Marsà
- 20K. Corbanie
- 44M. Eerdhuijzen
- 1O. De Wolf
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 06:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Standard Liege have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; KV Mechelen have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 6, 2026 | SK Beveren(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Genk(away) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Dender(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | OH Leuven(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Genk(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 4-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Standard Liege win, 5 draws, 0 KV Mechelen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | KV Mechelen 3-3 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 28, 2025 | KV Mechelen 0-1 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Standard Liege 1-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 10, 2025 | KV Mechelen 0-0 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Standard Liege 2-2 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 26, 2024 | KV Mechelen 0-0 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Standard Liege score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; KV Mechelen score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| KV Mechelen | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Standard Liege sit 8th in Jupiler Pro League (15 points from 11 matches) and KV Mechelen sit 11th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Standard Liege | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 15 |
| 11 | KV Mechelen | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 12 |
A question about Standard Liege vs KV Mechelen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Standard Liege vs KV Mechelen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Standard Liege the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for KV Mechelen.
- Where and when is Standard Liege vs KV Mechelen played?
- Standard Liege vs KV Mechelen is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Maurice Dufrasne, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.