Standard Liege vs KV Mechelen: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Luik
The Footlab model makes Standard Liege the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for KV Mechelen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Standard Liege vs KV Mechelen?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Standard Liege (1,940) and KV Mechelen (1,886).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Standard Liege have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; KV Mechelen have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Standard Liege(home) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dunkerque(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Standard Liege win(s), 5 draw(s), 0 KV Mechelen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | KV Mechelen 3-3 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 28, 2025 | KV Mechelen 0-1 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Standard Liege 1-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 10, 2025 | KV Mechelen 0-0 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Standard Liege 2-2 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 26, 2024 | KV Mechelen 0-0 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Standard Liege score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; KV Mechelen score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| KV Mechelen | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Standard Liege sit 6th in Jupiler Pro League (5 points from 3 matches) and KV Mechelen sit 14th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Standard Liege | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Standard Liege vs KV Mechelen?
- The Footlab model makes Standard Liege the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for KV Mechelen.
- Where and when is Standard Liege vs KV Mechelen played?
- Standard Liege vs KV Mechelen is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Maurice Dufrasne, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.