Kvant vs Shumbrat: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 3Group 3 - 26Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Trud, Obninsk
The Footlab model makes Shumbrat the favourite at 82%, against 11% for a draw and 6% for Kvant. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kvant vs Shumbrat?
Shumbrat is a heavy favourite: 1,683 Elo points against 1,296 — a 388-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kvant have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Shumbrat have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Saturn Ramenskoye(home) | 2-6 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Salyut-Belgorod(home) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ryazan(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orel(away) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rodina Moskva III(home) | 1-4 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arsenal Tula II(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Strogino(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 2Drots(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SKA Khabarovsk II(away) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Saturn Ramenskoye(away) | 2-4 | Second League - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Kvant win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Shumbrat win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Shumbrat 4-0 Kvant | Second League - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Kvant score 1.0 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Shumbrat score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kvant | 1.0 | 2.9 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Shumbrat | 1.9 | 1.2 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kvant sit 16th in Second League - Group 3 (6 points from 20 matches) and Shumbrat sit 5th (37 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shumbrat | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 26 | 37 |
| 16 | Kvant | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 59 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kvant vs Shumbrat?
- The Footlab model makes Shumbrat the favourite at 82%, against 11% for a draw and 6% for Kvant.
- Where and when is Kvant vs Shumbrat played?
- Kvant vs Shumbrat is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Trud, in the Second League - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.