KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Het Kuipje, Westerlo
The Footlab AI model makes Charleroi the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for KVC Westerlo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Charleroi wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate KVC Westerlo (1,952) and Charleroi (2,050).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
KVC Westerlo
4-2-3-1- 9N. Bassette
- 14C. Sandra
- 7S. Saito
- 20C. Congreve
- 45I. Fofana
- 13I. Sakamoto
- 5S. Kimura
- 28D. Ourega
- 4A. Lapage
- 2L. Flø
- 99A. Jungdal
Charleroi
4-2-3-1- 21A. Scheidler
- 18Y. Khalifi
- 6A. Boukamir
- 14P. Pflücke
- 8J. Romsaas
- 20F. Situmona Mbemba
- 3K. Van Den Kerkhof
- 24M. Nzita
- 95C. Keita
- 4A. Ousou
- 30M. Koné
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KVC Westerlo have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Charleroi have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Standard Liege(home) | 4-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 4-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 0-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 3-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 2-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 KVC Westerlo wins, 1 draw, 2 Charleroi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Charleroi 0-1 KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | KVC Westerlo 2-0 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 22, 2026 | KVC Westerlo 2-1 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Charleroi 2-0 KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 9, 2025 | Charleroi 4-3 KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 11, 2025 | KVC Westerlo 2-2 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Charleroi vs KVC Westerlo on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KVC Westerlo score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Charleroi score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KVC Westerlo | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Charleroi | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KVC Westerlo sit 8th in Jupiler Pro League (10 points from 7 matches) and Charleroi sit 4th (18 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Charleroi | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
| 8 | KVC Westerlo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
A question about KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Charleroi the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for KVC Westerlo.
- Where and when is KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi played?
- KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Het Kuipje, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.